วิกิพีเดีย
การเลือกตั้งประธานาธิบดีสหรัฐในรัฐเพนซิลเวเนีย พ.ศ. 2563
การเลือกตั้งประธานาธิบดีสหรัฐในรัฐเพนซิลเวเนีย พ.ศ. 2563 จัดขึ้นในวันอังคารที่ 3 พฤศจิกายน พ.ศ. 2563 เป็นส่วนหนึ่งของการเลือกตั้งประธานาธิบดีสหรัฐ พ.ศ. 2563 ที่รัฐทั้ง 50 รัฐและเขตโคลัมเบียจะเข้าร่วม รัฐเพนซิลเวเนียและเลือกประธานาธิบดีในคณะผู้เลือกตั้งตามคะแนนความนิยม รัฐเพนซิลเวเนียมี 20 เสียงในคณะผู้เลือกตั้ง ในวันที่ 7 พฤศจิกายนมีการคาดการณ์ว่าไบเดินชนะการเลือกตั้งในรัฐเพนซิลเวเนียและเขาได้รับการประกาศให้เป็นผู้ชนะการเลือกตั้ง
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| ผู้ใช้สิทธิ | % | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| คะแนนเสียง | 99% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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การคาดการณ์
| ที่มา | อันดับ | วันที่ |
|---|---|---|
| Princeton Electoral Consortium | Safe D (พลิกชนะ) | 5 ตุลาคม พ.ศ.2563 |
| The Cook Political Report | Lean D (พลิกชนะ) | 5 ตุลาคม พ.ศ.2563 |
| Inside Elections | Lean D (พลิกชนะ) | 5 ตุลาคม พ.ศ.2563 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Lean D (พลิกชนะ) | 5 ตุลาคม พ.ศ.2563 |
| Politico | Lean D (พลิกชนะ) | 5 ตุลาคม พ.ศ.2563 |
| RCP | Tossup | 5 ตุลาคม พ.ศ.2563 |
| Niskanen | Likely D (พลิกชนะ) | 5 ตุลาคม พ.ศ.2563 |
| CNN | Lean D (พลิกชนะ) | 23 ตุลาคม พ.ศ.2563 |
| The Economist | Likely D (พลิกชนะ) | 5 ตุลาคม พ.ศ.2563 |
| CBS News | Lean D (พลิกชนะ) | 5 ตุลาคม พ.ศ.2563 |
| 270towin | Lean D (พลิกชนะ) | 5 ตุลาคม พ.ศ.2563 |
| ABC News | Likely D (พลิกชนะ) | 5 ตุลาคม พ.ศ.2563 |
| NPR | Lean D (พลิกชนะ) | 5 ตุลาคม พ.ศ.2563 |
| NBC News | Lean D (พลิกชนะ) | 5 ตุลาคม พ.ศ.2563 |
| 538 | Likely D (พลิกชนะ) | 5 ตุลาคม พ.ศ.2563 |
การสำรวจ
การสรุปโดยกราฟ
การสำรวจโดยรวม
| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 270 to Win | October 22 – November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 49.4% | 45.7% | 4.9% | Biden +3.7 |
| Real Clear Politics | October 29–November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 48.7% | 47.5% | 3.8% | Biden +1.2 |
| FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 50.2% | 45.6% | 4.2% | Biden +4.6 |
| Average | 49.4% | 46.3% | 4.3% | Biden +3.1 | ||
แบบสำรวจ
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. | Nov 1–2 | 499 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 49% | 48% | 1% | - | 0% | 0% |
| Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports | Oct 31 – Nov 1 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | 50% | - | - | 1% | – |
| Research Co. | Oct 31 – Nov 1 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 46% | 52% | - | - | 2% | 4% |
| AYTM/Aspiration | Oct 30 – Nov 1 | 340 (LV) | – | 49% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
| Change Research/CNBC | Oct 29 – Nov 1 | 699 (LV) | ± 3.71% | 46% | 50% | 2% | - | – | 2% |
| Marist College/NBC | Oct 29 – Nov 1 | 772 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 51% | - | - | 1% | 2% |
| Monmouth University | Oct 28 – Nov 1 | 502(RV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 50% | 1% | - | 0% | 4% |
| 502 (LV) | 44% | 51% | - | - | – | – | |||
| 45% | 50% | - | - | – | – | ||||
| Swayable | Oct 27 – Nov 1 | 1,107 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 48% | 50% | 2% | - | – | – |
| Data for Progress | Oct 27 – Nov 1 | 1,417 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 45% | 52% | 2% | 0% | 0% | – |
| Ipsos/Reuters | Oct 27 – Nov 1 | 673 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 45% | 51% | 1% | 1% | 2% | – |
| 44% | 51% | - | - | 3% | 2% | ||||
| 46% | 52% | - | - | 2% | – | ||||
| Trafalgar | Oct 30–31 | 1,062 (LV) | ± 2.93% | 48% | 46% | 2% | - | 1% | 4% |
| Frederick Polls/Compete Everywhere | Oct 30–31 | 879 (LV) | ± 3% | 48% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
| Insider Advantage/Center for American Greatness | Oct 30–31 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 48.7% | 47.4% | 1.3% | - | – | 2.6% |
| Siena College/NYT Upshot | Oct 26–31 | 1,862 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 43% | 49% | 2% | - | 0% | 5% |
| Morning Consult | Oct 22–31 | 2,686 (LV) | ± 2% | 43% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
| Emerson College | Oct 29–30 | 823 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 47% | 52% | - | - | 2% | – |
| AtlasIntel | Oct 29–30 | 672 (LV) | ± 4% | 50% | 49% | - | - | 2% | – |
| Targoz Market Research/PollSmart | Oct 25–30 | 998 (LV) | – | 42% | 56% | - | - | 2% | – |
| Public Policy Polling/American Bridge PAC | Oct 28–29 | 1,012 (V) | – | 45% | 52% | - | - | – | 3% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Oct 26–29 | 2,125 (LV) | – | 45% | 50% | 1% | - | 1% | 3% |
| Harvard-Harris/The Hill | Oct 26–29 | 901 (LV) | – | 46% | 51% | - | - | – | 3% |
| ABC/Washington Post | Oct 24–29 | 824 (LV) | ± 4% | 44% | 51% | 3% | - | 0% | 1% |
| Muhlenberg College/Morning Call | Oct 23–28 | 419 (LV) | ± 5.5% | 44% | 49% | - | - | 4% | 2% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28 | 10,599 (LV) | ± 1.5% | 46% | 52% | - | - | – | - |
| RMG Research/PoliticalIQ | Oct 25–27 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 45% | 51% | - | - | 2% | 2% |
| 44% | 52% | - | - | 2% | 2% | ||||
| 47% | 49% | - | - | 2% | 2% | ||||
| Quinnipiac University | Oct 23–27 | 1,324 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 44% | 51% | - | - | 1% | 4% |
| Swayable | Oct 23–26 | 491 (LV) | ± 6% | 46% | 52% | 2% | - | – | – |
| Civiqs/Daily Kos | Oct 23–26 | 1,145 (LV) | ± 3% | 45% | 52% | - | - | 2% | 1% |
| Ipsos/Reuters | Oct 20–26 | 655 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 51% | 3% | 0% | 1% | – |
| 45% | 50% | - | - | 3% | 2% | ||||
| Insider Advantage/Center for American Greatness | Oct 25 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 48.5% | 45.5% | 3.3% | - | – | 2.8% |
| Trafalgar Group | Oct 24–25 | 1,076 (LV) | ± 2.91% | 48% | 48% | 2% | - | 1% | 1% |
| Wick Surveys | Oct 24–25 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 49% | 47% | - | - | – | – |
| Franklin & Marshall College | Oct 19–25 | 558 (LV) | ± 5% | 44% | 50% | 2% | - | 1% | 3% |
| Univision/University of Houston/Latino Decisions/North Star Opinion Research | Oct 17–25 | 723 (RV) | ± 3.64% | 45% | 50% | - | - | 3% | 2% |
| Gravis Marketing | Oct 23 | 602 (LV) | ± 4% | 44% | 51% | - | - | – | 5% |
| Public Policy Polling/American Bridge PAC | Oct 21–22 | 980 (V) | – | 46% | 51% | - | - | – | 4% |
| Civiqs/Dan Hopkins | Oct 17–21 | 1,577 (A) | 3% | 46% | 52% | - | - | – | 2% |
| YouGov/University of Wisconsin-Madison | Oct 13–21 | 669 (LV) | ± 4.45% | 44% | 52% | - | - | 3% | – |
| Citizen Data | Oct 17–20 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 39% | 44% | 9% | 0% | 1% | 7% |
| CNN/SSRS | Oct 15–20 | 843 (LV) | ± 4% | 43% | 53% | 2% | - | 1% | 1% |
| Muhlenberg College/Morning Call | Oct 13–20 | 416 (LV) | ± 5.5% | 44% | 51% | - | - | 2% | 4% |
| Morning Consult | Oct 11–20 | 2,563 (LV) | ± 1.9% | 43% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
| Fox News | Oct 18–19 | 1,045 (LV) | ± 3% | 45% | 50% | 1% | - | 1% | 2% |
| Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports | Oct 18–19 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | 50% | - | - | 2% | 3% |
| Quinnipiac University | Oct 16–19 | 1,241 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 43% | 51% | - | - | 1% | 5% |
| Change Research/CNBC | Oct 16–19 | 574 (LV) | – | 47% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
| Suffolk University/USA Today[1] | Oct 15–19 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 42% | 49% | 1% | - | 4% | 4% |
| Ipsos/Reuters | Oct 13–19 | 653 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 49% | 2% | 0% | 3% | – |
| 45% | 49% | - | - | 3% | 4% | ||||
| Trafalgar Group/Restoration PAC | Oct 13–15 | 1,041 (LV) | ± 2.96% | 46% | 48% | 3% | - | 2% | 2% |
| HarrisX/The Hill | Oct 12–15 | 1,289 (LV) | – | 46% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
| Insider Advantage/Center for American Greatness | Oct 12–13 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 43% | 46% | 2% | - | – | 9% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Oct 10–13 | 1,289 (LV) | – | 43% | 51% | 1% | 0% | – | – |
| Trafalgar Group | Oct 10–12 | 1,034 (LV) | ± 2.97% | 45% | 47% | 3% | - | 3% | 2% |
| RMG Research/PoliticalIQ | Oct 7–12 | 800 (LV) | – | 43% | 49% | 1% | – | 1% | 6% |
| 42% | 50% | 1% | – | 1% | 6% | ||||
| 45% | 47% | 1% | – | 1% | 6% | ||||
| Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising | Oct 8–11 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 45% | 52% | - | - | 2% | 1% |
| Ipsos/Reuters | Oct 6–11 | 622 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 45% | 51% | 1% | 0% | 2% | – |
| 44% | 51% | - | - | 1% | 4% | ||||
| Morning Consult | Oct 2–11 | 2,610 (LV) | ± 1.9% | 44% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Oct 9–10 | 1,145 (LV) | – | 44% | 49% | 1% | - | – | – |
| Whitman Insight Strategies | Oct 5–9 | 517 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 46% | 51% | - | - | 1% | 3% |
| Baldwin Wallace University | Sep 30 – Oct 8 | 1,140 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 50% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
| YouGov/CCES | Sep 29 – Oct 7 | 2,703 (LV) | – | 44% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Oct 4–6 | 927 (LV) | ± 3.22% | 42% | 49% | 1% | - | 1% | 7% |
| Emerson College | Oct 4–5 | 688 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 47% | 51% | - | - | 2% | – |
| Quinnipiac University | Oct 1–5 | 1,211 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 41% | 54% | - | - | 1% | 3% |
| Ipsos/Reuters | Sep 29 – Oct 5 | 605 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 45% | 50% | - | - | 2% | 3% |
| Change Research/CNBC | Oct 2–4 | 468 (LV) | – | 46% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
| Monmouth University | Sep 30 – Oct 4 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 42% | 54% | 1% | - | 0% | 2% |
| 500 (LV) | 43% | 54% | - | - | – | – | |||
| 45% | 53% | - | - | – | – | ||||
| YouGov/CBS | Sep 30 – Oct 2 | 1,287 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 44% | 51% | - | - | 2% | 5% |
| Siena College/NYT Upshot | Sep 30 – Oct 2 | 706 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 42% | 49% | 3% | - | 0% | 5% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30 | 4,613 (LV) | – | 46% | 52% | - | - | – | 2% |
| ABC News/Washington Post | Sep 21–26 | 567 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 45% | 54% | - | - | 0% | 1% |
| Siena College/NYT Upshot | Sep 25–27 | 711 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 40% | 49% | 2% | - | 0% | 8% |
| TIPP/The Federalist | Sep 24–26 | 774 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 45% | 50% | - | - | 1% | 4% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Sep 23–25 | 1,015 (LV) | ± 3.08% | 44% | 50% | 0% | – | 1% | 5% |
| Fox News | Sep 20–23 | 856 (LV) | ± 3% | 44% | 51% | 2% | – | 1% | 2% |
| 910 (RV) | ± 3% | 43% | 51% | 2% | – | 2% | 3% | ||
| Baldwin Wallace University | Sep 9–22 | 1,012 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 45% | 47% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 5% |
| Trafalgar Group/Restoration PAC | Sep 18–21 | 1,006 (LV) | ± 2.99% | 46% | 48% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% |
| YouGov/UW-Madison Elections Research Center/Wisconsin State Journal | Sep 10–21 | 642 (LV) | – | 45% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
| Change Research/CNBC | Sep 18–20 | 579 (LV) | – | 45% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
| Franklin & Marshall College | Sep 14–20 | 480 (LV) | ± 7.8% | 42% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
| Hart Research Associates/Human Rights Campaign | Sep 17–19 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 42% | 53% | - | - | – | – |
| CPEC | Sep 15–17 | 830 (LV) | ± 2.3% | 45% | 50% | - | - | 1% | 4% |
| Trafalgar Group (R) | Sep 15–17 | 1,006 (LV) | ± 2.99% | 45% | 47% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% |
| Ipsos/Reuters | Sep 11–16 | 611 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 46% | 49% | - | - | 2% | 4% |
| Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising | Sep 11–15 | 704 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 52% | - | - | 1% | 2% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Sep 12–14 | 1,036 (LV) | ± 3.04% | 44% | 49% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 5% |
| Climate Nexus | Sep 8–11 | 659 (RV) | ± 4% | 43% | 48% | - | - | 3% | 6% |
| Benenson Strategy Group/GS Strategy Group/AARP | Aug 28 – Sep 8 | 1,600 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 46% | 49% | - | - | 1% | 4% |
| Marist College/NBC News | Aug 31 – Sep 7 | 771 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 53% | - | - | 1% | 2% |
| Morning Consult | Aug 29 – Sep 7 | 2,227 (LV) | ± (2%-4%) | 45% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
| Change Research/CNBC | Sep 4–6 | 829 (LV) | – | 46% | 50% | - | - | 4% | – |
| TargetSmart | Sep 3–6 | 835 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 44% | 51% | - | - | 3% | 3% |
| Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. | Aug 26 – Sep 4 | 498 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 42% | 44% | - | - | 6% | 7% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Aug 30 – Sep 3 | 1,053 (LV) | ± 3.02% | 43% | 48% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 7% |
| Quinnipiac | Aug 28 – Sep 1 | 1,235 (LV) | ± 3% | 44% | 52% | - | - | 1% | 3% |
| ALG Research/Progressive Policy Institute | Aug 26 – Sep 1 | 500 (LV) | – | 44% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
| Monmouth University | Aug 28–31 | 400 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 45% | 49% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 4% |
| 400 (LV) | 46% | 49% | - | - | 2% | 3% | |||
| 47% | 48% | - | - | 2% | 3% | ||||
| Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC | Aug 26–31 | 600 (LV) | – | 45% | 51% | - | - | – | 4% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31 | 3,531 (LV) | – | 45% | 53% | - | - | – | 2% |
| Morning Consult | Aug 21–30 | 2,158 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 45% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
| Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports | Aug 25–27 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3% | 48% | 48% | - | - | 4% | – |
| GQR Research/Unite the Country PAC | Aug 20–24 | 971 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 43% | 52% | - | - | – | 5% |
| Franklin & Marshall College | Aug 17–24 | 681 (RV) | ± 5.2% | 42% | 50% | - | - | 3% | 7% |
| Change Research/CNBC | Aug 21–23 | 984 (LV) | – | 46% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
| Global Strategy Group/Climate Power 2020 /League of Conservation Voters/Sierra Club | Aug 13–19 | 801 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 42% | 50% | 2% | 1% | – | 5% |
| 43% | 53% | - | - | – | 4% | ||||
| Redfield and Wilton Strategies | Aug 16–17 | 1,006 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 41% | 48% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 8% |
| Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising | Aug 13–17 | 617 (RV) | – | 44% | 51% | - | - | 3% | 1% |
| Muhlenberg College/Morning Call | Aug 11–17 | 416 (LV) | ± 5.5% | 45% | 49% | - | - | 3% | 3% |
| Morning Consult | Aug 7–16 | 1,777 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 44% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
| Emerson College | Aug 8–10 | 843 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 47% | 53% | - | - | – | – |
| Change Research/CNBC | Aug 7–9 | 456 (RV) | – | 44% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
| YouGov/CBS | Aug 4–7 | 1,211 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 43% | 49% | - | - | 3% | 5% |
| OnMessage Inc./Heritage Action | Aug 2–4 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 46% | 50% | - | - | – | 4% |
| YouGov/University of Wisconsin-Madison | Jul 27 – Aug 6 | 742 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 41% | 50% | - | - | 2% | 5% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31 | 4,208 (LV) | – | 48% | 50% | - | - | – | 2% |
| Change Research/CNBC | Jul 24–26 | 382 (LV) | – | 46% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
| Franklin & Marshall College | Jul 20–26 | 667 (RV) | ± 5.5% | 41% | 50% | - | - | 2% | 6% |
| Morning Consult | Jul 17–26 | 2,092 (LV) | ± 2.1% | 42% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
| Gravis Marketing | Jul 22–24 | 1,006 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 48% | - | - | – | 8% |
| Zogby Analytics | Jul 21–23 | 809 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 43% | 44% | 4% | 2% | - | 8% |
| Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC | Jul 17–22 | 600 (LV) | – | 45% | 51% | - | - | – | 5% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Jul 19–21 | 1,016 (LV) | – | 41% | 48% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 8% |
| Fox News | Jul 18–20 | 793 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 39% | 50% | - | - | 5% | 6% |
| Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports/American Greatness PAC | Jul 15–16 | 750 (LV) | ± 4% | 46% | 51% | - | - | 2% | 1% |
| Spry Strategies/American Principles Project | Jul 11–16 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 48% | 47% | - | - | – | 5% |
| Monmouth University | Jul 9–13 | 401 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 40% | 53% | - | - | 3% | 4% |
| 401 (LV) | 42% | 52% | - | - | 3% | 3% | |||
| 44% | 51% | - | - | 2% | 3% | ||||
| Change Research/CNBC | Jul 10–12 | 743 (LV) | – | 42% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
| Trafalgar Group | Jun 29 – Jul 2 | 1,062 (LV) | ± 2.92% | 43% | 48% | - | - | 6% | 3% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30 | 2,184 (LV) | – | 48% | 50% | - | - | – | 2% |
| Change Research/CNBC | Jun 26–28 | 760 (LV) | – | 44% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
| Susquehanna Polling/Fox 43 | Jun 15–23 | 715 (LV) | – | 41% | 46% | - | - | 5% | 8% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Jun 14–16 | 1,125 (LV) | ± 2.92% | 39% | 49% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 9% |
| Siena College/NYT Upshot | Jun 8–16 | 651 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 40% | 50% | - | - | 3% | 6% |
| Change Research/CNBC | Jun 12–14 | 491 (LV) | – | 46% | 49% | - | - | 3% | – |
| Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC | Jun 8–11 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 54% | - | - | – | 4% |
| Civiqs/Dan Hopkins | Jun 6–11 | 1,221 (A) | 3.6% | 46% | 49% | - | - | – | 5% |
| Civiqs/Dan Hopkins | May 30 – Jun 2 | 2,045 (A) | 2.4% | 46% | 49% | - | - | – | 5% |
| Change Research/CNBC | May 29–31 | 579 (LV) | – | 50% | 46% | - | - | 2% | 2% |
| Morning Consult | May 17–26 | 2,120 (LV) | – | 44% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | May 10–14 | 963 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 39% | 48% | - | - | 2% | 11% |
| Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC | May 9–13 | 600 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 46% | - | - | – | 4% |
| Harper Polling (R) | Apr 21–26 | 644 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 43% | 49% | - | - | – | 8% |
| Public Policy Polling | Apr 20–21 | 1,251 (RV) | – | 44% | 51% | - | - | – | 5% |
| Fox News | Apr 18–21 | 803 (RV) | ± 3.5 % | 42% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
| Ipsos | Apr 15–20 | 578 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 40% | 46% | - | - | – | – |
| Suquehanna Research/Fox 43 | Apr 14–20 | 693 (LV) | – | 42% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
| Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC | Apr 16–18 | 600 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 47% | - | - | – | 6% |
| Civiqs/Dan Hopkins | Apr 4–8 | 1,912 (A) | 2.5% | 47% | 47% | - | - | – | 6% |
| Baldwin Wallace University Great Lakes | Mar 17–25 | 973 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 47% | 45% | - | - | – | 9% |
| Change Research | Mar 21–23 | 510 (LV) | – | 50% | 47% | - | - | – | 4% |
| Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC | Mar 19–21 | 600 (RV) | – | 47% | 45% | - | - | – | – |
| Civiqs/Dan Hopkins | Mar 14–18 | 1,589 (A) | 2.7% | 48% | 46% | - | - | – | 6% |
| YouGov/Yahoo News | Mar 6–8 | 725 (RV) | – | 40% | 46% | - | - | 5% | 8% |
| Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus | Mar 5–7 | 533 (RV) | ± 5.3 % | 45% | 44% | - | - | – | – |
| Civiqs/Dan Hopkins | Feb 27 – Mar 3 | 2,462 (A) | 2.2% | 48% | 46% | - | - | – | 7% |
| Muhlenberg College/Morning Call | Feb 12–20 | 424 (RV) | ± 5.5% | 47% | 47% | - | - | 2% | 4% |
| YouGov | Feb 11–20 | 1,171 (RV) | ± 4.0 % | 45% | 46% | - | - | – | – |
| Quinnipiac University | Feb 12–18 | 849 (RV) | ± 3.4 % | 42% | 50% | - | - | 6% | 3% |
| Expedition Strategies/Progressive Policies Institute | Feb 6–18 | 500 (RV) | – | 42% | 47% | - | - | – | 11% |
ผล
| การเลือกตั้งประธานาธิบดีสหรัฐในรัฐเพนซิลเวเนีย พ.ศ. 2563 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| พรรค | ผู้สมัคร | คะแนนเสียง | % | ± | |
| เดโมแครต | Joe Biden Kamala Harris | 3,450,696 | 49.98% | +2.52% | |
| ริพับลิกัน | Donald Trump Mike Pence | 3,368,278 | 48.78% | -0.4% | |
| ลิเบอร์เทเรียน | Jo Jorgensen Spike Cohen | 79,186 | 1.15% | -1.23% | |
| เขียนลง | 6,680 | 0.10% | -0.11% | ||
| Total votes | 6,904,840 | ||||
หมายเหตุ
- Partisan clients
- Compete Everywhere primarily supports Democratic candidates
- ↑ The Center for American Greatness is a pro-Trump organization
- Climate Power 2020 was created by the League of Conservation Voters, which endorsed Biden prior to the sampling period
- The American Bridge PAC exclusively supports Democratic candidates
- ↑ The Restoration PAC is a 501 non-profit which supports Donald Trump's 2020 presidential campaign
- ↑ Rust Belt Rising is affiliated with the Democratic Party
- The Human Rights Campaign endorsed Biden prior to this poll's sampling period
- CPEC campaigns exclusively for Democratic candidates
- The Progressive Policy Institute endorsed Biden prior to this poll's sampling period
- Unite the Country PAC endorsed Biden prior to this poll's sampling period
- The League of Conservation Voters and the Sierra Club endorsed Biden prior to this poll's sampling period
- Heritage Action is the sister organisation of the Heritage Foundation, which exclusively endorses Republican candidates
- This poll's sponsor is the American Principles Project, a 501(c)(4) organization that supports the Republican Party.
- Poll sponsored by Protect Our Care, a pro-Affordable Care Act organisation
- Additional candidates
- Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - With voters who lean towards a given candidate
- Would not vote with 0%
- With voters who lean towards a given candidate
- "Some other candidate" with 1%
- "Someone else" with 2%
- "Other candidate" and "No one" with 0%
- With a likely voter turnout model featuring high turnout
- With a likely voter turnout model featuring low turnout
- "Other candidate or write-in" with 0%
- ↑ Standard VI response
- West (B) with 2%; "Some other candidate" and would not vote with 0%
- If only Biden, Trump and "some other candidate" were available
- "Some other candidate" with 3%; would not vote with 0%
- Results considering those who lean towards a given candidate among those initially predisposed towards abstention, indecision or a candidate besides Biden or Trump in the response section immediately above
- "Some other candidate" with 2%
- "Someone else" with 1%
- "Someone else" and would not vote with 0%
- Includes "Refused"
- With voters who lean towards a given candidate
- "Someone else" with 2%
- "Not sure/Someone else/Undecided" with 2%
- "None of these" and "Other" with 0%; would not vote with no voters
- "Neither/other" with 4%
- Results generated with high Democratic turnout model
- Results generated with high Republican turnout model
- "Someone else" with 1%
- "Someone else" with 2%
- "Some other candidate" with 1%; West (B) and would not vote with 0%
- If only Biden, Trump and "some other candidate" were available
- "Some other candidate" with 3%; would not vote with 0%
- "Someone else" with 1%
- "Refused" with 1%; "Some other candidate" with 0%
- "Someone else" with 3%
- Includes Undecided
- "Other" with 1%; "None of these" with 0%
- "Neither/other" with 2%
- "Other" with 1%; would not vote with no voters
- "Some other candidate" with 2%
- "Someone else" with 1%
- ↑ Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
- "Refused" with 3%; "Others" with 1%
- "Some other candidate" with 2%; West (B) with 1%; would not vote with 0%
- If only Biden, Trump and "some other candidate" were available
- "Some other candidate" with 3%; would not vote with 0%
- "Someone else" with 2%
- "Someone else" with 3%
- Results generated with high Democratic turnout model
- Results generated with high Republican turnout model
- "Someone else" with 2%
- "Some other candidate" and would not vote with 1%; West (B) with 0%
- If only Biden, Trump and "some other candidate" were available
- "Some other candidate" with 1%; would not vote with 0%
- "Someone else" with 1%
- "Another candidate" with 0%
- "Another Third Party/Write-in" with 1%
- With voters who lean towards a given candidate
- "Someone else" with 2%
- "Someone else" with 1%
- "Some other candidate" with 2%; would not vote with 0%
- "Other candidate" and "No one" with 0%
- With a likely voter turnout model featuring high turnout
- With a likely voter turnout model featuring low turnout
- "Someone else/third party" with 2%
- "Someone else" and would not vote with 0%
- Includes "Refused"
- "Neither" and "Other" with 0%; would not vote with no voters
- "Someone else" and would not vote with 0%
- Includes "Refused"
- "Other" with 1%; "Prefer not to answer" with 0%
- "Another Third Party/Write-in" with 1%
- "Other" with 1%; would not vote with no voters
- "Other" and would not vote with 1%
- "Another candidate" with 1%
- "Someone else" with 2%
- "Third party candidate" with 1%
- "Someone else" with 2%
- "Some other candidate" with 2%; would not vote with 0%
- "Someone else" with 1%
- "Another Third Party/Write-in" with 0%
- "Neither candidate or other candidate" with 3%
- Would not vote with 1%
- Overlapping sample with the previous Morning Consult poll, but more information available regarding sample size
- "Other/not sure" with 4%
- "Other" and "Refused" with 3%
- "Another Third Party/Write-in" with 1%
- "Someone else" with 1%
- "No one" with 1%; "Other candidate" with no voters
- With a likely voter turnout model featuring higher turnout than in the 2016 presidential election
- With a likely voter turnout model featuring lower turnout than in the 2016 presidential election
- Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight; with voters who lean towards a given candidate
- "Some other candidate" with 4%
- With voters who lean towards a given candidate
- "Some other candidate" with 3%
- If only Biden and Trump were candidates
- "Another Third Party/Write-in" with 1%
- "Someone else" with 3%
- "Neither/other" with 3%
- Including voters who lean towards a given candidate
- "Someone else/third party" with 3%
- "Other" with 2%; would not vote with 0%
- "Some other candidate" with 2%
- West (B) and "Another Third Party/Write-In" with 1%
- "Other" with 4%; would not vote with 1%
- "Some other candidate" with 2%
- "Another candidate" with 3%; "No one" with 0%
- With a likely voter turnout model featuring higher turnout than in the 2016 presidential election
- With a likely voter turnout model featuring lower turnout than in the 2016 presidential election
- "Other party candidate" with 6%
- "other" with 1%
- "Another candidate" with 2%; would not vote with 1%
- "Libertarian Party candidate/Green Party candidate" with 3%
- "Third party/write-in" with 2%
- "Other" with 2%; would not vote with 3%
- "Someone else" with 1%; would not vote with 5%
อ้างอิง
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